Interest-only mortgages and speculation in hot housing markets
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Hot and Cold Housing Markets: International Evidence
This paper examines the experience of fourteen developed countries for which there are about thirty years of quarterly inflation-adjusted housing price data. Price dynamics is modeled as a combination of a country-specific component and a cyclical component. The cyclical component is a two-state Markov switching process with parameters common to all countries. We find that the latent state vari...
متن کاملMortgage Choices and Housing Speculation
We describe a rational expectations model in which speculative bubbles in house prices can emerge. Within this model both speculators and their lenders use interestonly mortgages (IOs) rather than traditional mortgages when there is a bubble. Absent a bubble, there is no tendency for IOs to be used. These insights are used to assess the extent to which house prices in US cities were driven by s...
متن کاملHerding and Speculation in Experimental Asset Markets
I conduct an experiment to observe individual traders beliefs and desired behavior in a partial-equilibrium asset market. Isolated traders trade a risky asset in a market with exogenous prices. The price series exhibits a "bubble," diverging strongly from the expected dividend yield. Before trading, traders predict the assets price in the upcoming period, the price in the nal period, and the...
متن کاملSpeculation and survival in financial markets∗
The paper analyzes a finite time economy with a single risky asset which pays a one-shot payoff (dividend). The payoff is random and its distribution is not known à priori. Agents observe public signals (random draws from the same distribution) and update their beliefs about the payoff. They trade in order to reshuffle their portfolios according to new beliefs. Agents may use various updating r...
متن کاملSpeculation and Hedging in Segmented Markets
We analyze a model in which traders have different trading opportunities and learn information from prices. The difference in trading opportunities implies that different traders may have different trading motives when trading in the same market—some trade for speculation and others for hedging—and thus they may respond to the same information in opposite directions. This implies that adding mo...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Chicago Fed Letter
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0895-0164
DOI: 10.21033/cfl-2020-439